The only thing that has been able to cool us down lately is the rain! And even though we saw action on 3 separate games get washed out by Mother Nature yesterday, we still managed to grind out yet another profitable day, including another parlay winner! The parlay win came on a 2-team all underdog play that paid out a hefty $473 bucks. That bet came in when we picked up winners on the Cardinals (+115) and the Mariners (+120), and it was the 3rd day in a row that we parlayed Seattle and St. Louis as dogs, and we cashed all 3 tickets!
One at a time. #SeaUsRise pic.twitter.com/KlYM2TN30Z
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 23, 2021
The parlay winner was the big win of the day, but we also found straight bet winners as well. We ran up a 7-3 overall record with wins on Rangers/Yankees over 9 (-110), Astros/Angels over 9.5 (-110), Twins/Cubs over 7 (-110), Giants/Padres over 9.5, and Braves (-180). We have been blistering hot all month long and have been stacking cash as the end of the MLB regular season looms just around the corner. Today, we will get back at it, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
San Francisco Giants (-115) at San Diego Padres
With a loss tonight at home, the San Diego Padres will officially be out of the playoff conversation in the National League. It is a sad ending to what was supposed to be a magical season in San Diego, and after spending boatloads of money in the last 2 years gearing up for this alleged run to the World Series, Padres management has to wonder what it is going to take to breakthrough.
I can’t imagine that the Padres are going to burn it down and start over, but when you spend this much money and finish in 3rd place and miss the playoffs, people are going to have to answer to the lackluster performance. It is hard to tell whether or not the Padres are even trying at this point, as they have lost 10 of their last 12 games. San Diego will start Yu Darvish tonight, hoping that he can pitch like he did in his last outing, where he blanked the St. Louis Cardinals in 7 innings of work. Strong performances have been the exception and not the rule for Darvish in the 2nd half of the season, though, as his ERA is north of 6 runs since the All-Star break.
Back to work tomorrow afternoon#ResilientSF | #SFGiants pic.twitter.com/S2Ml1EPFwO
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) September 23, 2021
The last time that Darvish pitched against the Giants came a couple of weeks ago, in San Francisco, and it did not end well for the flame-throwing right-hander, as he got lit up to the tune of 8 runs, all earned, including giving up a season-high 4 dingers. Darvish is going to need to be sharp tonight if the Padres want any shot at winning, because Giants starter Logan Webb has been fantastic.
Most people didn’t expect much out of Logan Webb this season, but this kid has done a magnificent job of eating up innings at the back of the Giants rotation. Webb is 10-3 with a more than respectable 2.79 ERA, and the Giants just don’t lose when he pitches. The G-Men haven’t lost when Webb starts in nearly 2 months, and on the year, they are an absolutely absurd 20-4 in his 24 starts.
There are far too many strong trends all going in the same direction on this game not to love a play on the Giants at basically even money. San Francisco has the best record in all of baseball, and a win tonight would be lucky number 100. The Padres, on the other hand, are resigned to their destiny of a disappointing season and are slumping their way to the finish line of the regular season. Darvish can’t win, Webb can’t lose, give me the Giants tonight in sunny San Diego as they sweep the Friars.
Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds (-210)
Talk about a team in desperation mode, the Cincinnati Reds were looking like a playoff team just a couple of weeks ago, but their mediocre play down the stretch, coupled with a Cardinals team that forgot how to lose, now has the Reds sitting 4.5-games back of the 2nd wild card in the NL. But Cincy does have one thing going for them, a soft schedule.
The Reds host the Washington Nationals tonight for game 1 of a 4-game series, and a series sweep would keep the Reds in the mix for the playoffs. Anything short of a sweep would make it nearly impossible for the Reds to catch the Cardinals. With all of that pressure, Cincy will turn to their on again, off again, sometimes ace, Luis Castillo.
Castillo is either unhittable, or he gets blown up, there is very little in between. At home, he has been on more often than he has been off, with a solid 3.19 ERA. He has made 9 consecutive quality starts at home, and if he can do that again tonight, the Reds are going to cruise to the win in this game.
Take a little time out of your morning to read this. It will be well worth it. 💯 https://t.co/xHF2AwvqgW
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 22, 2021
The Nationals are trying their best to play spoiler down the stretch, but wins have been hard to come by. It is hard to think that this team won the World Series in 2019, because right now, this team looks nothing like the team that took home the World Series trophy. Gone are guys like Max Scherzer, Trea Turner, and Stephen Strasburg, leaving Patrick Corbin as one of the few impact players from that championship team left over.
And even Corbin looks nothing like he did in 2019, as he has had a really tough year. Corbin is a dismal 8-15 with a 6.11 ERA. His K rate is down, his walk rate is up, and the Nationals have lost 11 of his last 15 starts. Things have gone from bad to worse for Corbin, and at this point, Corbin just isn’t a pitcher that can be trusted to win games. This is the season for the Reds, and they know it, and they are going to pull out all of the stops and do everything that they can to win this game, and I think that they take care of business and extend their season another day with a no sweat victory over a bad Nats team.
Toronto Blue Jays (-140) at Minnesota Twins
If the season were to end today, the Toronto Blue Jays would miss the playoffs by just a half of a game. Entering play today, the Blue Jays trail the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox for the final playoff spots in the league. But with Boston and New York set to square off tomorrow in a 3-game series, one of those teams is going to have to lose every day, leaving the door wide open for the Blue Jays to jump them in the standings. That is, of course, if they can take care of business on the road against the disappointing Minnesota Twins.
The Blue Jays will go with Steven Matz on the mound today, who has actually been quite a bit better on the road than he has been at home. Matz is 9-4 with a 3.68 ERA in other team’s ballparks this year, and Toronto needs him to step up tonight and lead them to victory. Winning is all that Matz has been doing this month, as he is 3-0 with a 3.97 ERA in 4 starts, all wins for Toronto.
Blue Jays Statement Regarding Final Homestand:
Additional tickets available now – https://t.co/1L6qzdmNeW pic.twitter.com/PYPE9oyBAz
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) September 23, 2021
There haven’t been very many bright spots this year for the Twins, as the season was a major disappointment, and most of their stars were either traded away or have underachieved. One of the lone bright spots for Minnesota has been starting pitcher Michael Pineda. Pineda has been strong all season long, but he has been particularly filthy this month, as he is 3-0 with a 1.32 ERA in 3 starts.
Despite holding a 16-5 record this month, the best in the American League, the margin of error for Toronto is basically zero. A series loss against the Twins would be devastating for their postseason chances, and even though Michael Pineda has been pitching well, I see the Jays finding a way to gut out this game and pick up the win. I don’t love having to fade a guy in a groove like Pineda is right now, but Matz has been pitching well too, and the Blue Jays are the far superior team overall. Give me the Blue Jays in a must-win spot tonight in Minneapolis.
Money Line Parlay
San Francisco Giants -115
Cincinnati Reds -210
Toronto Blue Jays -140
$100 Bet Pays $474
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Over 8.5 Runs (-110)
Talk about free money! We have taken the over in this series between the Angels and Astros in all 3 games so far, and we have cashed tickets every day, as this has been a slugfest in LA. In total, we have seen a whopping 39 runs scored in the 3 games, with each game hitting double-digit runs scored, and sailing to the over.
Tonight, we have what is likely the best starting pitching matchup we have seen in this series so far between Lance McCullers Jr and Alex Cobb, and while the upgrade in pitching scares me a little bit, I don’t need 14 or 15 runs scored like the last 2 nights to cash this ticket, all I need is 9 runs, and that is certainly well within reach.
Heck, the Astros have scored at least 9 runs in every game of this series, all on their own! Alex Cobb is decent, but he just missed 6 weeks of action, and I would be shocked if he is in his game for very long. That means another heavy dose of this putrid LA bullpen, and that tells me that the over is the play to make. Standby for fireworks in the City of Angels tonight!
Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins Under 9.5 Runs (-110)
We already touched on this game above, and you know how I feel about the starting pitching matchup between Steven Matz and Michael Pineda. Both of these guys are good pitchers, and both are pitching at their best right now. Taking the under in Twins or Blue Jays games is a risky proposition, as both of these teams can score runs. But at the end of the day, I just don’t see this game hitting double digit runs scored. I will jump on the under knowing that I am going to have to sweat it out the entire game as both of these teams are capable of scoring runs in bunches. It won’t be an easy winner, but the under is the play in this one.
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Over 7.5 Runs (-110)
I mean, I get that Logan Webb and Yu Darvish are good pitchers. But 7.5 runs? Really? Come on! This total is far too low for these 2 teams, as this series has been a slobber knocker so far! In the first 2 games of this 3-game set, the teams combined to score 25 runs. When these teams played last week, 3 of those 4 games hit double digits as well.
That means that in the last 2 weeks, these teams have played 6 games, and 5 of them have been high scoring. And now the books are going to roll out a number like 7.5? Yeah, I don’t get it. Give me the over, and when Yu Darvish gets run from the game in the 3rd inning, and this game is already over the total, I will be sitting back saying I told you so and getting paid!
Game Total Parlay
Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Over 8.5 Runs -110
Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins Under 9.5 Runs -110
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres Over 7.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
St. Louis Cardinals (+100) at Milwaukee Brewers
If you want a recipe for success, listen up! When a team is on fire like the St. Louis Cardinals are right now, you have 2 choices. You can get on board and ride the wave, or you can stay away. Trying to jump in front of a freight train is a terrible decision. I have been hammering on the Cardinals a bunch lately and getting rich, as they are winning every game, and the books keep making them betting underdogs!
I see that hot streak continuing tonight as the Cardinals wrap up what has been a very successful trip to Milwaukee. The Cardinals have a run differential of +12 in this series, and I almost can’t believe that they are underdogs again tonight after how much they have dominated this series. St. Louis has won 13 of their last 14 games, including 11 straight, and I just don’t see Adrian Houser as the guy that is going to be able to slow them down.
Waino looking for career strikeout number 2000!
Watch -> https://t.co/68lPWfkLNe pic.twitter.com/Tml30n1uca
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) September 23, 2021
Houser has actually pitched really well against St. Louis this season, but he got roughed up by the lowly Chicago Cubs in his last start, and he is nowhere near the level of guys like Freddy Peralta or Brandon Woodruff, who the Cardinals have already beaten in this series. And when you see what Adam Wainwright has been able to do this season, the Cardinals are the side to be on.
Wainwright is having one of the best seasons of his long and storied career. Waino only has one losing decision going back to July, and the Cardinals have won 11 of his last 12 starts. What has been particularly impressive for Wainwright is how deep into games he is getting, as he has pitched at least 6 full innings in his last 13 starts. Throw in the fact that Wainwright just turned 40 years young, and he is one of the best stories in baseball right now. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it, right? Give me the Cardinals, again as underdogs, tonight at Miller Park!
Seattle Mariners (+135) at Oakland Athletics
Just like the St. Louis Cardinals, I have been riding the Seattle Mariners all week. And just like St. Louis, the Mariners haven’t let me down, as they are 3-0 in this series with the Athletics, and I see them finishing off the sweep today in Oakland. The bats have gone cold for Oakland, as they have scored only 5 runs total in this series. Going back to their previous series, the Mariners have held opposing teams to 2 runs or less in a game in 5 of their last 6 games.
Runs should be hard to come by again tonight for the A’s, with All-Star Yusei Kikuchi getting the nod for Seattle. Kikuchi hasn’t been nearly as sharp in the 2nd half as he was in the 1st half, but he is still a quality starting pitcher, and with Oakland struggling badly at the dish, I see him having a solid outing today on the road. In 2 starts against the A’s this season, Kikuchi is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and has 15 Ks in 12 innings pitched.
Season-best 14 games over .500 🤫 #SeaUsRise pic.twitter.com/7BtRaaqsHv
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 23, 2021
Chris Bassitt makes his long-awaited return for Oakland, as he missed a full month’s worth of action after taking a line drive to the face last month. Bassitt was having a breakout season for the Athletics, but it will be interesting to see how he looks today after such a long layoff. Many pitchers are skittish after taking a rocket to the dome like Bassitt took, and some guys are just never the same again.
The Mariners are 10-2 against the Athletics this season, including wins in their last 8 games. Seattle swept their last 2 series against Oakland, and I see them finishing off the sweep today in game 4. It is looking like the AL East is going to snatch up both wild card spots in the American League, but with the Mariners and A’s playing this series and squaring off again next week, the 2nd place team in the AL West has a shot at sneaking into the postseason. I will stick with the hot hand and back the Mariners to make it 9 in a row against Oakland!
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
St. Louis Cardinals +100
Seattle Mariners +135
$100 Bet Pays $470
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have three different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!